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Intelligence

[Table of Contents]

I. Explaining Uncertainties

(U) The NIE provided a "text box" that listed the IC's "confidence levels for selected key judgements in this estimate." The NIE's key judgements were broken down into three categories of high, moderate and low confidence. Assessments related to Iraq's delivery capabilities listed under the "High Confidence" heading were:

  • "Iraq is continuing, and in some areas expanding, its chemical, biological, nuclear and missile programs contrary to UN resolutions."

  • "We are not detecting portions of these weapons programs."

  • "Iraq possesses proscribed chemical and biological weapons and missiles."

    (U) There were no assessments of Iraq's delivery capabilities listed under the "Moderate Confidence" or "Low Confidence" headings.



    [Table of Contents]



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